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ParlayCapitalTerminal

Games behind
every rate.
Beta is open.

ParlayCapital Terminal is the Parlay Capital prop-research board. Every player prop on tonight’s card is one row: the line, the hit rate with its sample size, the opponent’s rank and the price at every book we track. The beta is open: as long as you are in the Parlay Capital Whop community, your login opens the whole board.

How to read a row

This is a sample row. The player and the numbers are made up, but the NBA board builds every row this way. Each number answers one question, and each one shows how it was worked out. If you cannot say how a number was built, do not use it.

Andrej HalvorsenDEN vs OKCPoints + rebounds + assists46.5
Line
46.5
L10 hit rate
90%/10
Projection edge
+3.3
24h move
+1.0
Matchup
#27soft
Consensus price
-112
Line46.5

The bet itself, exactly as the book posts it. Never rounded: at 46.5 a 47 clears the over, and at 47 it is a push.

L10 hit rate90%/10

He cleared this number in nine of his last ten. The sample size sits next to it: 9 of 10 says more than 2 of 2.

Projection edge+3.3

The baseline projection minus the posted line. The projection is a recency-weighted average of public box scores with no error bars, so read the edge as arithmetic, not a forecast.

24h move+1.0

Opened at 45.5 this morning. The row shows every step since, so you can see where the number started and when it moved.

Matchup#27soft

Tonight’s opponent ranks 27th of the 30 defenses with logged games at his position in this market. Rank 1 is the toughest, so the board prints the word beside the number.

Consensus price-112

The average of the 7 books on this row, computed in probability space so a -150 and a +130 average correctly. Open the row to see each book’s own price. The average is not a price any book offers.

That is one row. Below is the board it came from: a sample NBA slate, with his row first.

NBANFLMLBWNBA
PlayerMarketLineL10Avg Over
Andrej HalvorsenPRA46.590%-115
Theo Whitaker-OseiPTS31.570%-108
Marcus Delacroix3PM3.550%+118
Elijah StrandAST9.570%-102
Tomas LindqvistREB12.560%-110
Dante WhitlockPTS27.540%-105
Isaiah FenwickPRA38.560%-112
7 of 2,418 props · NBASample rows, made-up players and numbers, not live. Edge comes from the baseline projection.

The nightly
loop

Run it once a night while the beta is on. Each pass teaches you the board and shows us where it is wrong.

Log in with Whop
  1. Log in with Whop

    As long as you are in the Parlay Capital Whop community, your login opens the whole board for the beta. There is nothing to buy.

  2. Open tonight’s board

    Pick a league, then sort by the column you care about. Prices refresh every 5 minutes, so a number can change while you read.

  3. Check a number against its games

    If a rate looks wrong, open the games behind it and count them. That check is what the board is for.

  4. Report what does not hold

    Post it in the Parlay Capital Discord with the player, the market and the number you expected. We read every report, including duplicates.

The board is open.

Player props on tonight’s card across 4 leagues, priced against 7+ books, with the games behind each number. The board stays open for the whole beta.

ParlayCapital Terminal · Open beta